FC Tokyo
Kashima Antlers
FC Tokyo – Kashima Antlers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 5, 06:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.65 – 1.21
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards FC Tokyo at home (44 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.65 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.21 for Kashima Antlers. Bookmakers say the same thing: 46 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, FC Tokyo took 13 points and Kashima Antlers 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for FC Tokyo, 1 draw, 4 wins for Kashima Antlers. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Tokyo | 2.05 | 46 % | -8.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 26 % | -1.2 % |
| 2Kashima Antlers | 3.40 | 28 % | -5.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
FC Tokyo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kashima Antlers
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- FC Tokyo
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers1-0FC Tokyo
- FC Tokyo1-1Kashima Antlers
- FC Tokyo0-1Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers2-0FC Tokyo
- Kashima Antlers2-1FC Tokyo
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Tokyo – Kashima Antlers?
Our model gives 1 · FC Tokyo a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Tokyo win 44 %, draw 28 %, Kashima Antlers win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for FC Tokyo – Kashima Antlers?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.