Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus – Kyoto Sanga
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 5, 06:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.61 – 1.09
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Nagoya Grampus at home (50 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.61 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.09 for Kyoto Sanga. Bookmakers say the same thing: 50 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Nagoya Grampus took 8 points and Kyoto Sanga 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Nagoya Grampus, 2 draws, 2 wins for Kyoto Sanga. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nagoya Grampus | 1.86 | 50 % | -7.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -2.7 % |
| 2Kyoto Sanga | 3.80 | 25 % | -7.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Nagoya Grampus
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kyoto Sanga
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Nagoya Grampus
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Kyoto Sanga
- Nagoya Grampus3-0Kyoto Sanga
- Kyoto Sanga1-1Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus1-2Kyoto Sanga
- Kyoto Sanga1-1Nagoya Grampus
- Kyoto Sanga3-2Nagoya Grampus
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nagoya Grampus – Kyoto Sanga?
Our model gives 1 · Nagoya Grampus a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Nagoya Grampus win 50 %, draw 26 %, Kyoto Sanga win 24 %.
What is the most likely score for Nagoya Grampus – Kyoto Sanga?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.