Operário PR
Sport
Operário PR – Sport
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 5, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.35 – 1.07
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Operário PR at home (44 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.35 goals for Operário PR and 1.07 for Sport. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 32 %. Over their last five matches, Operário PR took 3 points and Sport 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Operário PR, 2 draws, 1 win for Sport. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Operário PR | 2.90 | 32 % | +27.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -4.2 % |
| 2Sport | 2.30 | 40 % | -36.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Operário PR
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sport
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Operário PR
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Sport
- Sport2-2Operário PR
- Operário PR2-1Sport
- Sport1-2Operário PR
- Sport5-1Operário PR
- Operário PR0-0Sport
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Operário PR – Sport?
Our model gives 1 · Operário PR a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Operário PR win 44 %, draw 29 %, Sport win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for Operário PR – Sport?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.