Everton
Coventry City
Everton – Coventry City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 5, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 57 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.79 – 1.01
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Everton at home (57 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.79 goals for Everton and 1.01 for Coventry City. Bookmakers say the same thing: 56 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Everton took 7 points and Coventry City 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Everton | 1.71 | 56 % | -3.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 24 % | -0.7 % |
| 2Coventry City | 4.67 | 20 % | -13.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Everton
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Coventry City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Everton – Coventry City?
Our model gives 1 · Everton a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Everton win 57 %, draw 25 %, Coventry City win 19 %.
What is the most likely score for Everton – Coventry City?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.