Standard Liege
Waasland-Beveren
Standard Liege – Waasland-Beveren
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 5, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.96 – 1.04
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Standard Liege at home (60 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.96 goals for Standard Liege and 1.04 for Waasland-Beveren. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 52 %. Over their last five matches, Standard Liege took 1 point and Waasland-Beveren 4 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Standard Liege, 0 draws, 1 win for Waasland-Beveren. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Standard Liege | 1.80 | 52 % | +7.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | -17.9 % |
| 2Waasland-Beveren | 3.90 | 24 % | -24.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Standard Liege
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Waasland-Beveren
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Standard Liege
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Waasland-Beveren
- Standard Liege3-1Waasland-Beveren
- Waasland-Beveren1-2Standard Liege
- Waasland-Beveren2-1Standard Liege
- Standard Liege2-0Waasland-Beveren
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Standard Liege – Waasland-Beveren?
Our model gives 1 · Standard Liege a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Standard Liege win 60 %, draw 21 %, Waasland-Beveren win 19 %.
What is the most likely score for Standard Liege – Waasland-Beveren?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.