Venezia
Udinese
Venezia – Udinese
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 5, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.41 – 1.23
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Venezia at home (40 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.41 goals for Venezia and 1.23 for Udinese. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Venezia took 3 points and Udinese 1 point. In recent meetings: 1 win for Venezia, 0 draws, 4 wins for Udinese. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Venezia | 2.20 | 42 % | -11.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -0.6 % |
| 2Udinese | 3.00 | 31 % | -7.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Venezia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Udinese
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Venezia
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Udinese
- Udinese2-1Venezia
- Udinese3-2Venezia
- Venezia3-2Udinese
- Venezia1-2Udinese
- Udinese3-0Venezia
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Venezia – Udinese?
Our model gives 1 · Venezia a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Venezia win 40 %, draw 29 %, Udinese win 31 %.
What is the most likely score for Venezia – Udinese?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.