Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano – Espanyol
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.51 – 1.15
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Espanyol. The model predicted a win for Rayo Vallecano (46 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.51 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.15 for Espanyol. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano took 4 points and Espanyol 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Rayo Vallecano, 0 draws, 4 wins for Espanyol. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rayo Vallecano | 2.20 | 43 % | +0.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 29 % | -6.8 % |
| 2Espanyol | 3.40 | 28 % | -11.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Rayo Vallecano
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Espanyol
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Rayo Vallecano
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Espanyol
- Rayo Vallecano1-0Espanyol
- Espanyol1-0Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano0-4Espanyol
- Espanyol2-1Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano1-2Espanyol
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Rayo Vallecano – Espanyol?
Final score: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Espanyol. The model predicted a win for Rayo Vallecano (46 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano – Espanyol?
Our model gives 1 · Rayo Vallecano a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rayo Vallecano win 46 %, draw 28 %, Espanyol win 26 %.