Bristol Rovers
Cambridge United
Bristol Rovers – Cambridge United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 5, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.37 – 1.31
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Cambridge United away from home (39 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.37 goals for Bristol Rovers and 1.31 for Cambridge United. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Bristol Rovers took 3 points and Cambridge United 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Bristol Rovers, 0 draws, 1 win for Cambridge United. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bristol Rovers | 3.00 | 32 % | +17.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 26 % | -19.4 % |
| 2Cambridge United | 2.25 | 43 % | -11.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bristol Rovers
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cambridge United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Bristol Rovers
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Cambridge United
- Bristol Rovers0-2Cambridge United
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bristol Rovers – Cambridge United?
Our model gives 2 · Cambridge United a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bristol Rovers win 39 %, draw 21 %, Cambridge United win 39 %.
What is the most likely score for Bristol Rovers – Cambridge United?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.