Genoa
1-0
Sudtirol
Genoa – Sudtirol
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:48 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.89 – 0.92
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Genoa 1-0 Sudtirol. The model predicted a win for Genoa (58 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.89 goals for Genoa and 0.92 for Sudtirol. Bookmakers say the same thing: 61 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Genoa took 4 points and Sudtirol 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Genoa, 1 draw, 0 wins for Sudtirol. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Genoa | 1.54 | 61 % | -10.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 23 % | -10.4 % |
| 2Sudtirol | 6.00 | 16 % | +15.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Genoa
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sudtirol
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Genoa
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Sudtirol
- Sudtirol0-0Genoa
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Genoa – Sudtirol?
Final score: Genoa 1-0 Sudtirol. The model predicted a win for Genoa (58 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Genoa – Sudtirol?
Our model gives 1 · Genoa a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Genoa win 58 %, draw 22 %, Sudtirol win 19 %.