Hammarby IF
IF Elfsborg
Hammarby IF – IF Elfsborg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 5, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 65 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.16 – 0.89
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Hammarby IF at home (65 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.16 goals for Hammarby IF and 0.89 for IF Elfsborg. Bookmakers say the same thing: 66 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Hammarby IF took 12 points and IF Elfsborg 9 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Hammarby IF, 1 draw, 0 wins for IF Elfsborg. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hammarby IF | 1.41 | 66 % | -8.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.70 | 20 % | +2.5 % |
| 2IF Elfsborg | 6.50 | 14 % | -12.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Hammarby IF
- Last 5 matches
- At home
IF Elfsborg
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- Hammarby IF
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- IF Elfsborg
- IF Elfsborg1-2Hammarby IF
- Hammarby IF3-0IF Elfsborg
- IF Elfsborg0-2Hammarby IF
- IF Elfsborg0-0Hammarby IF
- Hammarby IF3-0IF Elfsborg
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hammarby IF – IF Elfsborg?
Our model gives 1 · Hammarby IF a 65 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Hammarby IF win 65 %, draw 22 %, IF Elfsborg win 13 %.
What is the most likely score for Hammarby IF – IF Elfsborg?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.