Gaziantep FK
Kasimpasa
Gaziantep FK – Kasimpasa
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 5, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.30 – 1.33
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Kasimpasa away from home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.30 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.33 for Kasimpasa. Bookmakers say the same thing: 35 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Gaziantep FK took no points and Kasimpasa 8 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Gaziantep FK, 2 draws, 0 wins for Kasimpasa. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Gaziantep FK | 2.50 | 37 % | -11.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 28 % | -8.7 % |
| 2Kasimpasa | 2.70 | 35 % | +0.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Gaziantep FK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kasimpasa
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Gaziantep FK
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Kasimpasa
- Gaziantep FK2-1Kasimpasa
- Kasimpasa2-3Gaziantep FK
- Gaziantep FK2-2Kasimpasa
- Kasimpasa2-2Gaziantep FK
- Gaziantep FK2-0Kasimpasa
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Gaziantep FK – Kasimpasa?
Our model gives 2 · Kasimpasa a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Gaziantep FK win 35 %, draw 28 %, Kasimpasa win 37 %.
What is the most likely score for Gaziantep FK – Kasimpasa?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.