Braga
1-0
Estoril
Braga – Estoril
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.63 – 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Braga 1-0 Estoril. The model predicted a win for Braga (52 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.63 goals for Braga and 1.00 for Estoril. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 67 %. Over their last five matches, Braga took 10 points and Estoril 2 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Braga, 2 draws, 1 win for Estoril. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Braga | 1.39 | 67 % | -28.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.35 | 21 % | +8.2 % |
| 2Estoril | 8.00 | 12 % | +85.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Braga
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Estoril
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Braga
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Estoril
- Braga1-1Estoril
- Estoril1-0Braga
- Estoril0-2Braga
- Braga2-2Estoril
- Estoril0-1Braga
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Braga – Estoril?
Final score: Braga 1-0 Estoril. The model predicted a win for Braga (52 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Braga – Estoril?
Our model gives 1 · Braga a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Braga win 52 %, draw 25 %, Estoril win 23 %.