Villarreal
1-2
Real Betis
Villarreal – Real Betis
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:47 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-08 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.37 – 1.38
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Villarreal 1-2 Real Betis. The model predicted a win for Villarreal (37 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.37 goals for Villarreal and 1.38 for Real Betis. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 49 %. Over their last five matches, Villarreal took 2 points and Real Betis 12 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Villarreal, 1 draw, 2 wins for Real Betis. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Villarreal | 1.95 | 49 % | -28.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 24 % | +14.2 % |
| 2Real Betis | 3.50 | 27 % | +21.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Villarreal
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Real Betis
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Villarreal
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Real Betis
- Real Betis2-0Villarreal
- Villarreal2-2Real Betis
- Real Betis1-2Villarreal
- Villarreal1-2Real Betis
- Real Betis2-3Villarreal
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Villarreal – Real Betis?
Final score: Villarreal 1-2 Real Betis. The model predicted a win for Villarreal (37 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Villarreal – Real Betis?
Our model gives 1 · Villarreal a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Villarreal win 37 %, draw 29 %, Real Betis win 35 %.