Botafogo-SP
Londrina
Botafogo-SP – Londrina
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 4, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.56 – 0.91
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45 %
- Both teams to score
- 48 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Botafogo-SP at home (54 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.56 goals for Botafogo-SP and 0.91 for Londrina. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Botafogo-SP took 13 points and Londrina 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Botafogo-SP, 2 draws, 1 win for Londrina. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Botafogo-SP | 1.71 | 54 % | -8.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -6.9 % |
| 2Londrina | 4.50 | 21 % | -4.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Botafogo-SP
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Londrina
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Botafogo-SP
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Londrina
- Londrina0-0Botafogo-SP
- Botafogo-SP0-1Londrina
- Londrina1-1Botafogo-SP
- Botafogo-SP2-1Londrina
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Botafogo-SP – Londrina?
Our model gives 1 · Botafogo-SP a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Botafogo-SP win 54 %, draw 25 %, Londrina win 21 %.
What is the most likely score for Botafogo-SP – Londrina?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.