Palmeiras
Remo
Palmeiras – Remo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 4, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 70 %
- Most likely score
- 2-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.01 – 0.76
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 46 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Palmeiras at home (70 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.01 goals for Palmeiras and 0.76 for Remo. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 76 %. Over their last five matches, Palmeiras took 10 points and Remo 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Palmeiras, 1 draw, 0 wins for Remo. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Palmeiras | 1.22 | 76 % | -14.7 % |
| XDraw | 6.00 | 15 % | +20.7 % |
| 2Remo | 11.00 | 8 % | +9.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Palmeiras
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Remo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Palmeiras
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Remo
- Remo1-1Palmeiras
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Palmeiras – Remo?
Our model gives 1 · Palmeiras a 70 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Palmeiras win 70 %, draw 20 %, Remo win 10 %.
What is the most likely score for Palmeiras – Remo?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.