Gimnasia La Plata
Belgrano (Córdoba)
Gimnasia La Plata – Belgrano (Córdoba)
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 4, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.31 – 1.07
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43 %
- Both teams to score
- 48 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Gimnasia La Plata at home (40 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.31 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.07 for Belgrano (Córdoba). Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Gimnasia La Plata took 11 points and Belgrano (Córdoba) 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Gimnasia La Plata, 0 draws, 1 win for Belgrano (Córdoba). Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Gimnasia La Plata | 2.25 | 42 % | -10.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | +2.3 % |
| 2Belgrano (Córdoba) | 3.20 | 29 % | -8.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Gimnasia La Plata
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Belgrano (Córdoba)
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Gimnasia La Plata
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Belgrano (Córdoba)
- Belgrano (Córdoba)0-1Gimnasia La Plata
- Belgrano (Córdoba)0-1Gimnasia La Plata
- Gimnasia La Plata0-2Belgrano (Córdoba)
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Gimnasia La Plata – Belgrano (Córdoba)?
Our model gives 1 · Gimnasia La Plata a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Gimnasia La Plata win 40 %, draw 31 %, Belgrano (Córdoba) win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for Gimnasia La Plata – Belgrano (Córdoba)?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.