Predictions are closed for this match.
Internazionale
08:45 PM
Sep 14
Udinese
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Internazionale | 1.19 | 78 % | -8.2 % |
| XDraw | 6.50 | 14 % | -8.1 % |
| 2Udinese | 13.00 | 7 % | +13.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Internazionale
Udinese
| Internazionale | Form and statistics | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| 1866 | Elo | 1597 |
| 2.20 | Goals scored / match | 1.50 |
| 1.10 | Goals conceded / match | 1.10 |
| 17.3 | Shots / match | 12.9 |
| 60 % | Win rate | 50 % |
| 5 | Rest days | 7 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:47 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Internazionale a 77 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Internazionale win 77 %, draw 14 %, Udinese win 9 %.
The most likely score is 2-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 63 %, and both teams scoring at 51 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.19 for Internazionale, 6.50 for the draw, 13.00 for Udinese.
Kick-off is scheduled for Monday, September 14, 2026 at 08:45 PM (Serie A), at San Siro.
The model leans towards Internazionale at home (77 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.46 goals for Internazionale and 0.80 for Udinese. Bookmakers say the same thing: 78 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Internazionale took 10 points and Udinese 10 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Internazionale, 0 draws, 1 win for Udinese. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
Nobody has voted yet. Be the first.
