Predictions are closed for this match.
Red Star FC 93
08:45 PM
Sep 14
Metz
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Red Star FC 93 | 2.30 | 39 % | -1.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 29 % | -10.5 % |
| 2Metz | 2.75 | 32 % | -22.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Red Star FC 93
Metz
| Red Star FC 93 | Form and statistics | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| 1502 | Elo | 1461 |
| 1.80 | Goals scored / match | 1.40 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded / match | 1.70 |
| 14.0 | Shots / match | 13.6 |
| 50 % | Win rate | 20 % |
| 10 | Rest days | 9 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:47 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Red Star FC 93 a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Red Star FC 93 win 43 %, draw 29 %, Metz win 28 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 47 %, and both teams scoring at 52 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 2.30 for Red Star FC 93, 3.10 for the draw, 2.75 for Metz.
Kick-off is scheduled for Monday, September 14, 2026 at 08:45 PM (Ligue 2), at Stade Bauer.
The model leans towards Red Star FC 93 at home (43 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.40 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 1.15 for Metz. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Red Star FC 93 took 8 points and Metz 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Red Star FC 93, 1 draw, 0 wins for Metz. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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