Sparta Prague
AFC Bournemouth
Sparta Prague – AFC Bournemouth
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 4, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 0-212 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.79 – 2.41
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards AFC Bournemouth away from home (67 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.79 goals for Sparta Prague and 2.41 for AFC Bournemouth. Bookmakers say the same thing: 64 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sparta Prague took 7 points and AFC Bournemouth 15 points. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sparta Prague | 6.25 | 15 % | -24.3 % |
| XDraw | 4.52 | 21 % | -7.7 % |
| 2AFC Bournemouth | 1.50 | 64 % | +1.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sparta Prague
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AFC Bournemouth
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sparta Prague – AFC Bournemouth?
Our model gives 2 · AFC Bournemouth a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sparta Prague win 12 %, draw 20 %, AFC Bournemouth win 67 %.
What is the most likely score for Sparta Prague – AFC Bournemouth?
The most likely score is 0-2, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.