NEC Nijmegen
Omonia Nicosia
NEC Nijmegen – Omonia Nicosia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 4, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.67 – 1.11
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards NEC Nijmegen at home (47 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.67 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.11 for Omonia Nicosia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 53 %. Over their last five matches, NEC Nijmegen took 6 points and Omonia Nicosia 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1NEC Nijmegen | 1.80 | 53 % | -15.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 24 % | +0.9 % |
| 2Omonia Nicosia | 4.10 | 23 % | +13.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
NEC Nijmegen
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Omonia Nicosia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win NEC Nijmegen – Omonia Nicosia?
Our model gives 1 · NEC Nijmegen a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: NEC Nijmegen win 47 %, draw 25 %, Omonia Nicosia win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for NEC Nijmegen – Omonia Nicosia?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.