Crystal Palace
TSG Hoffenheim
Crystal Palace – TSG Hoffenheim
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 4, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.62 – 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Crystal Palace at home (47 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.62 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.25 for TSG Hoffenheim. Bookmakers say the same thing: 50 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Crystal Palace took 4 points and TSG Hoffenheim 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Crystal Palace | 1.90 | 50 % | -10.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.98 | 24 % | -6.6 % |
| 2TSG Hoffenheim | 3.63 | 26 % | +7.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Crystal Palace
- Last 5 matches
- At home
TSG Hoffenheim
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Crystal Palace – TSG Hoffenheim?
Our model gives 1 · Crystal Palace a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Crystal Palace win 47 %, draw 24 %, TSG Hoffenheim win 30 %.
What is the most likely score for Crystal Palace – TSG Hoffenheim?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.