AC Milan
Ferencvaros
AC Milan – Ferencvaros
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 4, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.15 – 0.89
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards AC Milan at home (67 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.15 goals for AC Milan and 0.89 for Ferencvaros. Bookmakers say the same thing: 72 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, AC Milan took 9 points and Ferencvaros 15 points. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AC Milan | 1.31 | 72 % | -12.1 % |
| XDraw | 5.63 | 17 % | -1.7 % |
| 2Ferencvaros | 8.25 | 11 % | +27.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AC Milan
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Ferencvaros
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win AC Milan – Ferencvaros?
Our model gives 1 · AC Milan a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AC Milan win 67 %, draw 17 %, Ferencvaros win 15 %.
What is the most likely score for AC Milan – Ferencvaros?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.