Predictions are closed for this match.
Djurgården
07:00 PM
Sep 14
GAIS
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Djurgården | 1.46 | 65 % | -16.3 % |
| XDraw | 4.60 | 21 % | +3.5 % |
| 2GAIS | 6.50 | 15 % | +31.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Djurgården
GAIS
| Djurgården | Form and statistics | GAIS |
|---|---|---|
| 1656 | Elo | 1563 |
| 2.10 | Goals scored / match | 0.90 |
| 0.40 | Goals conceded / match | 1.20 |
| 13.9 | Shots / match | 14.8 |
| 70 % | Win rate | 40 % |
| 7 | Rest days | 9 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:47 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Djurgården a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Djurgården win 57 %, draw 22 %, GAIS win 20 %.
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 58 %, and both teams scoring at 58 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.46 for Djurgården, 4.60 for the draw, 6.50 for GAIS.
Kick-off is scheduled for Monday, September 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (Allsvenskan), at Tele2 Arena.
The model leans towards Djurgården at home (57 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.92 goals for Djurgården and 1.12 for GAIS. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 65 %. Over their last five matches, Djurgården took 12 points and GAIS 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Djurgården, 1 draw, 2 wins for GAIS. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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