Predictions are closed for this match.
Bodo/Glimt
07:00 PM
Sep 14
Sandefjord
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bodo/Glimt | 1.11 | 85 % | -12.1 % |
| XDraw | 10.50 | 9 % | +39.8 % |
| 2Sandefjord | 16.00 | 6 % | +20.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord
| Bodo/Glimt | Form and statistics | Sandefjord |
|---|---|---|
| 1834 | Elo | 1507 |
| 2.70 | Goals scored / match | 0.80 |
| 1.50 | Goals conceded / match | 1.40 |
| 13.9 | Shots / match | 13.8 |
| 80 % | Win rate | 10 % |
| 3 | Rest days | 9 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:47 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Bodo/Glimt a 79 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bodo/Glimt win 79 %, draw 13 %, Sandefjord win 8 %.
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 72 %, and both teams scoring at 54 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.11 for Bodo/Glimt, 10.50 for the draw, 16.00 for Sandefjord.
Kick-off is scheduled for Monday, September 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (Eliteserien), at Aspmyra Stadion.
The model leans towards Bodo/Glimt at home (79 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.90 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 0.84 for Sandefjord. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 85 %. Over their last five matches, Bodo/Glimt took 12 points and Sandefjord 5 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Bodo/Glimt, 1 draw, 1 win for Sandefjord. Over 2.5 goals: 72 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
Nobody has voted yet. Be the first.
