Fenerbahce
Liverpool
Fenerbahce – Liverpool
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 3, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.13 – 2.21
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65 %
- Both teams to score
- 61 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Liverpool away from home (58 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.13 goals for Fenerbahce and 2.21 for Liverpool. Bookmakers say the same thing: 62 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Fenerbahce took 4 points and Liverpool 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fenerbahce | 5.38 | 18 % | +11.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.72 | 20 % | -1.0 % |
| 2Liverpool | 1.52 | 62 % | -11.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Fenerbahce
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Liverpool
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fenerbahce – Liverpool?
Our model gives 2 · Liverpool a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Fenerbahce win 21 %, draw 21 %, Liverpool win 58 %.
What is the most likely score for Fenerbahce – Liverpool?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.