Stade Rennais
Olympiacos
Stade Rennais – Olympiacos
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 3, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.87 – 1.14
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Stade Rennais at home (51 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.87 goals for Stade Rennais and 1.14 for Olympiacos. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 43 %. Over their last five matches, Stade Rennais took 7 points and Olympiacos 15 points. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stade Rennais | 2.20 | 43 % | +11.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.63 | 26 % | -15.7 % |
| 2Olympiacos | 3.10 | 31 % | -19.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Stade Rennais
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Olympiacos
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Stade Rennais – Olympiacos?
Our model gives 1 · Stade Rennais a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Stade Rennais win 51 %, draw 23 %, Olympiacos win 26 %.
What is the most likely score for Stade Rennais – Olympiacos?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.