Tenerife
2-0
Leganés
Tenerife – Leganés
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-014 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.24 – 0.95
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Tenerife 2-0 Leganés. The model predicted a win for Tenerife (41 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.24 goals for Tenerife and 0.95 for Leganés. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Tenerife took 7 points and Leganés 11 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Tenerife, 2 draws, 0 wins for Leganés. Over 2.5 goals: 38 %. Both teams to score: 44 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Tenerife | 2.40 | 39 % | -0.8 % |
| XDraw | 2.90 | 33 % | -11.0 % |
| 2Leganés | 3.40 | 28 % | -4.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Tenerife
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Leganés
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Tenerife
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Leganés
- Tenerife0-0Leganés
- Leganés1-1Tenerife
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Tenerife – Leganés?
Final score: Tenerife 2-0 Leganés. The model predicted a win for Tenerife (41 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Tenerife – Leganés?
Our model gives 1 · Tenerife a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Tenerife win 41 %, draw 31 %, Leganés win 28 %.