Bodo/Glimt
Lille
Bodo/Glimt – Lille
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 2, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 57 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.02 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62 %
- Both teams to score
- 61 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Bodo/Glimt at home (57 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.02 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.18 for Lille. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 52 %. Over their last five matches, Bodo/Glimt took 9 points and Lille 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bodo/Glimt | 1.83 | 52 % | +4.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.05 | 24 % | -15.4 % |
| 2Lille | 3.88 | 25 % | -14.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bodo/Glimt
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lille
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bodo/Glimt – Lille?
Our model gives 1 · Bodo/Glimt a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bodo/Glimt win 57 %, draw 21 %, Lille win 22 %.
What is the most likely score for Bodo/Glimt – Lille?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.