West Bromwich Albion
Southampton
West Bromwich Albion – Southampton
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 2, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.22 – 1.41
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Southampton away from home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.22 goals for West Bromwich Albion and 1.41 for Southampton. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 35 %. Over their last five matches, West Bromwich Albion took 10 points and Southampton 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for West Bromwich Albion, 2 draws, 3 wins for Southampton. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1West Bromwich Albion | 2.45 | 39 % | -21.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.52 | 27 % | -4.8 % |
| 2Southampton | 2.73 | 35 % | +11.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
West Bromwich Albion
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Southampton
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- West Bromwich Albion
- 2 draws
- 3 wins
- Southampton
- West Bromwich Albion1-1Southampton
- Southampton3-2West Bromwich Albion
- Southampton3-1West Bromwich Albion
- West Bromwich Albion0-0Southampton
- West Bromwich Albion0-2Southampton
Frequently asked questions
Who will win West Bromwich Albion – Southampton?
Our model gives 2 · Southampton a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: West Bromwich Albion win 32 %, draw 27 %, Southampton win 41 %.
What is the most likely score for West Bromwich Albion – Southampton?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.