Preston North End
Sheffield United
Preston North End – Sheffield United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 2, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.03 – 1.58
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Sheffield United away from home (48 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.03 goals for Preston North End and 1.58 for Sheffield United. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Preston North End took 1 point and Sheffield United 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Preston North End, 0 draws, 3 wins for Sheffield United. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Preston North End | 3.30 | 29 % | -17.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -3.6 % |
| 2Sheffield United | 2.08 | 45 % | +0.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Preston North End
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sheffield United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Preston North End
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Sheffield United
- Sheffield United2-3Preston North End
- Preston North End3-2Sheffield United
- Sheffield United1-0Preston North End
- Preston North End0-2Sheffield United
- Sheffield United4-1Preston North End
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Preston North End – Sheffield United?
Our model gives 2 · Sheffield United a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Preston North End win 25 %, draw 27 %, Sheffield United win 48 %.
What is the most likely score for Preston North End – Sheffield United?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.