Brest
0-1
Paris Saint-Germain
Brest – Paris Saint-Germain
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 0-211 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.89 – 2.44
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Brest 0-1 Paris Saint-Germain. The model predicted a win for Paris Saint-Germain (68 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.89 goals for Brest and 2.44 for Paris Saint-Germain. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 78 %. Over their last five matches, Brest took 6 points and Paris Saint-Germain 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Brest, 0 draws, 5 wins for Paris Saint-Germain. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Brest | 11.50 | 8 % | +51.2 % |
| XDraw | 6.75 | 14 % | +25.6 % |
| 2Paris Saint-Germain | 1.22 | 78 % | -16.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Brest
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Paris Saint-Germain
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Brest
- 0 draws
- 5 wins
- Paris Saint-Germain
- Paris Saint-Germain1-0Brest
- Brest0-3Paris Saint-Germain
- Paris Saint-Germain7-0Brest
- Brest0-3Paris Saint-Germain
- Brest2-5Paris Saint-Germain
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Brest – Paris Saint-Germain?
Final score: Brest 0-1 Paris Saint-Germain. The model predicted a win for Paris Saint-Germain (68 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Brest – Paris Saint-Germain?
Our model gives 2 · Paris Saint-Germain a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Brest win 13 %, draw 19 %, Paris Saint-Germain win 68 %.