IK Sirius
Halmstads BK
IK Sirius – Halmstads BK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 2, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 75 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.53 – 0.81
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards IK Sirius at home (75 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.53 goals for IK Sirius and 0.81 for Halmstads BK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 72 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, IK Sirius took 7 points and Halmstads BK 6 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for IK Sirius, 1 draw, 1 win for Halmstads BK. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1IK Sirius | 1.30 | 72 % | -2.5 % |
| XDraw | 5.75 | 16 % | -10.2 % |
| 2Halmstads BK | 8.00 | 12 % | -25.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
IK Sirius
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Halmstads BK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- IK Sirius
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Halmstads BK
- Halmstads BK0-2IK Sirius
- Halmstads BK0-1IK Sirius
- IK Sirius1-1Halmstads BK
- Halmstads BK3-1IK Sirius
- IK Sirius3-0Halmstads BK
Frequently asked questions
Who will win IK Sirius – Halmstads BK?
Our model gives 1 · IK Sirius a 75 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: IK Sirius win 75 %, draw 16 %, Halmstads BK win 9 %.
What is the most likely score for IK Sirius – Halmstads BK?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.