Galatasaray
VfB Stuttgart
Galatasaray – VfB Stuttgart
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 2, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 2-18 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.69 – 1.64
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65 %
- Both teams to score
- 66 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Galatasaray at home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.69 goals for Galatasaray and 1.64 for VfB Stuttgart. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Galatasaray took 12 points and VfB Stuttgart 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 66 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Galatasaray | 2.17 | 44 % | -9.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | -13.1 % |
| 2VfB Stuttgart | 2.90 | 33 % | +8.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Galatasaray
- Last 5 matches
- At home
VfB Stuttgart
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Galatasaray – VfB Stuttgart?
Our model gives 1 · Galatasaray a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Galatasaray win 42 %, draw 21 %, VfB Stuttgart win 37 %.
What is the most likely score for Galatasaray – VfB Stuttgart?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 8 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.