Sassuolo
3-2
Juventus
Sassuolo – Juventus
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.03 – 1.61
The short version
Final score: Sassuolo 3-2 Juventus. The model predicted a win for Juventus (52 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.03 goals for Sassuolo and 1.61 for Juventus. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 57 %. Over their last five matches, Sassuolo took 8 points and Juventus 8 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Sassuolo, 1 draw, 2 wins for Juventus. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sassuolo | 5.13 | 18 % | +17.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.73 | 25 % | -5.3 % |
| 2Juventus | 1.65 | 57 % | -15.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sassuolo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Juventus
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Sassuolo
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Juventus
- Juventus1-1Sassuolo
- Sassuolo0-3Juventus
- Juventus3-0Sassuolo
- Sassuolo4-2Juventus
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sassuolo – Juventus?
Final score: Sassuolo 3-2 Juventus. The model predicted a win for Juventus (52 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Sassuolo – Juventus?
Our model gives 2 · Juventus a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sassuolo win 23 %, draw 25 %, Juventus win 52 %.