Panathinaikos
3-0
Panetolikos
Panathinaikos – Panetolikos
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 72 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.35 – 0.81
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Panathinaikos 3-0 Panetolikos. The model predicted a win for Panathinaikos (72 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.35 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.81 for Panetolikos. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 79 %. Over their last five matches, Panathinaikos took 13 points and Panetolikos 10 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Panathinaikos, 1 draw, 0 wins for Panetolikos. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Panathinaikos | 1.20 | 79 % | -13.5 % |
| XDraw | 7.00 | 14 % | +27.5 % |
| 2Panetolikos | 13.00 | 7 % | +25.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Panathinaikos
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Panetolikos
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- Panathinaikos
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Panetolikos
- Panathinaikos0-0Panetolikos
- Panetolikos1-2Panathinaikos
- Panathinaikos2-0Panetolikos
- Panetolikos1-2Panathinaikos
- Panathinaikos2-1Panetolikos
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Panathinaikos – Panetolikos?
Final score: Panathinaikos 3-0 Panetolikos. The model predicted a win for Panathinaikos (72 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Panathinaikos – Panetolikos?
Our model gives 1 · Panathinaikos a 72 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Panathinaikos win 72 %, draw 18 %, Panetolikos win 10 %.