PAOK
2-0
Aris
PAOK – Aris
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.88 – 0.96
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: PAOK 2-0 Aris. The model predicted a win for PAOK (56 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.88 goals for PAOK and 0.96 for Aris. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 62 %. Over their last five matches, PAOK took 7 points and Aris 12 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for PAOK, 2 draws, 1 win for Aris. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1PAOK | 1.52 | 62 % | -14.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | +0.8 % |
| 2Aris | 6.00 | 16 % | +19.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
PAOK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Aris
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- PAOK
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Aris
- Aris0-0PAOK
- PAOK3-1Aris
- Aris0-0PAOK
- PAOK0-1Aris
- Aris1-2PAOK
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of PAOK – Aris?
Final score: PAOK 2-0 Aris. The model predicted a win for PAOK (56 %): correct prediction.
Who will win PAOK – Aris?
Our model gives 1 · PAOK a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: PAOK win 56 %, draw 24 %, Aris win 20 %.