Atlético Tucumán
Argentinos Juniors
Atlético Tucumán – Argentinos Juniors
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 1, 06:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 0-113 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.98 – 1.22
- Over 2.5 goals
- 38 %
- Both teams to score
- 45 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Argentinos Juniors away from home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.98 goals for Atlético Tucumán and 1.22 for Argentinos Juniors. Bookmakers say the same thing: 36 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Atlético Tucumán took 4 points and Argentinos Juniors 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Atlético Tucumán, 1 draw, 2 wins for Argentinos Juniors. Over 2.5 goals: 38 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Atlético Tucumán | 2.90 | 32 % | -15.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.00 | 31 % | -9.7 % |
| 2Argentinos Juniors | 2.60 | 36 % | +5.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Atlético Tucumán
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Argentinos Juniors
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Atlético Tucumán
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Argentinos Juniors
- Argentinos Juniors1-0Atlético Tucumán
- Argentinos Juniors0-0Atlético Tucumán
- Argentinos Juniors1-2Atlético Tucumán
- Atlético Tucumán4-3Argentinos Juniors
- Atlético Tucumán0-2Argentinos Juniors
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Atlético Tucumán – Argentinos Juniors?
Our model gives 2 · Argentinos Juniors a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Atlético Tucumán win 29 %, draw 30 %, Argentinos Juniors win 41 %.
What is the most likely score for Atlético Tucumán – Argentinos Juniors?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.