Goiás
CRB
Goiás – CRB
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 1, 06:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.32 – 1.14
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Goiás at home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.32 goals for Goiás and 1.14 for CRB. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Goiás took 10 points and CRB 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Goiás, 2 draws, 2 wins for CRB. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Goiás | 2.40 | 39 % | -2.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -1.7 % |
| 2CRB | 2.70 | 34 % | -16.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Goiás
- Last 5 matches
- At home
CRB
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Goiás
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- CRB
- CRB2-2Goiás
- Goiás1-2CRB
- CRB2-0Goiás
- CRB0-1Goiás
- Goiás1-1CRB
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Goiás – CRB?
Our model gives 1 · Goiás a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Goiás win 41 %, draw 28 %, CRB win 31 %.
What is the most likely score for Goiás – CRB?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.