PSV Eindhoven
4-1
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 85 %
- Most likely score
- 3-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.58 – 0.85
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta Rotterdam. The model predicted a win for PSV Eindhoven (85 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.58 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.85 for Sparta Rotterdam. Bookmakers say the same thing: 81 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, PSV Eindhoven took 13 points and Sparta Rotterdam 5 points. In recent meetings: 5 wins for PSV Eindhoven, 0 draws, 0 wins for Sparta Rotterdam. Over 2.5 goals: 82 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1PSV Eindhoven | 1.17 | 81 % | -0.7 % |
| XDraw | 8.00 | 12 % | -19.8 % |
| 2Sparta Rotterdam | 12.50 | 8 % | -35.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
PSV Eindhoven
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sparta Rotterdam
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 5 wins
- PSV Eindhoven
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam0-2PSV Eindhoven
- PSV Eindhoven6-1Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam1-3PSV Eindhoven
- PSV Eindhoven2-1Sparta Rotterdam
- PSV Eindhoven4-2Sparta Rotterdam
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam?
Final score: PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta Rotterdam. The model predicted a win for PSV Eindhoven (85 %): correct prediction.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven – Sparta Rotterdam?
Our model gives 1 · PSV Eindhoven a 85 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: PSV Eindhoven win 85 %, draw 10 %, Sparta Rotterdam win 5 %.