Deportivo
Osasuna
Deportivo – Osasuna
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Nov 1, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.56 – 1.11
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Deportivo at home (44 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.56 goals for Deportivo and 1.11 for Osasuna. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Deportivo took 5 points and Osasuna 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Deportivo, 0 draws, 1 win for Osasuna. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Deportivo | 2.15 | 44 % | -4.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -6.4 % |
| 2Osasuna | 3.55 | 27 % | -4.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Deportivo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Osasuna
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Deportivo
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Osasuna
- Deportivo1-2Osasuna
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Deportivo – Osasuna?
Our model gives 1 · Deportivo a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Deportivo win 44 %, draw 29 %, Osasuna win 27 %.
What is the most likely score for Deportivo – Osasuna?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.