Stade de Reims
Sochaux
Stade de Reims – Sochaux
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Nov 1, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.86 – 0.88
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Stade de Reims at home (61 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.86 goals for Stade de Reims and 0.88 for Sochaux. Bookmakers say the same thing: 56 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Stade de Reims took 9 points and Sochaux 5 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Stade de Reims, 1 draw, 0 wins for Sochaux. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stade de Reims | 1.66 | 56 % | +1.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | -10.7 % |
| 2Sochaux | 4.70 | 20 % | -24.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Stade de Reims
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sochaux
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Stade de Reims
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Sochaux
- Sochaux2-2Stade de Reims
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Stade de Reims – Sochaux?
Our model gives 1 · Stade de Reims a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Stade de Reims win 61 %, draw 23 %, Sochaux win 16 %.
What is the most likely score for Stade de Reims – Sochaux?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.