GAIS
AIK
GAIS – AIK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Nov 1, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.68 – 1.20
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards GAIS at home (49 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.68 goals for GAIS and 1.20 for AIK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 52 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, GAIS took 7 points and AIK 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for GAIS, 1 draw, 2 wins for AIK. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1GAIS | 1.80 | 52 % | -11.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 24 % | -2.8 % |
| 2AIK | 3.95 | 24 % | +0.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
GAIS
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AIK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- GAIS
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- AIK
- AIK2-0GAIS
- AIK1-1GAIS
- GAIS0-1AIK
- AIK0-1GAIS
- GAIS2-0AIK
Frequently asked questions
Who will win GAIS – AIK?
Our model gives 1 · GAIS a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: GAIS win 49 %, draw 25 %, AIK win 25 %.
What is the most likely score for GAIS – AIK?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.