Sydbank Park
Sønderjyske Fodbold
F.C. København
Sønderjyske Fodbold – F.C. København
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Nov 1, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 65 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.04 – 2.31
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards F.C. København away from home (65 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.04 goals for Sønderjyske Fodbold and 2.31 for F.C. København. Bookmakers say the same thing: 65 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sønderjyske Fodbold took 7 points and F.C. København 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Sønderjyske Fodbold, 1 draw, 3 wins for F.C. København. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sønderjyske Fodbold | 6.00 | 16 % | -10.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.80 | 19 % | -2.3 % |
| 2F.C. København | 1.44 | 65 % | -6.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sønderjyske Fodbold
- Last 5 matches
- At home
F.C. København
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Sønderjyske Fodbold
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- F.C. København
- F.C. København3-1Sønderjyske Fodbold
- F.C. København0-2Sønderjyske Fodbold
- Sønderjyske Fodbold1-2F.C. København
- F.C. København1-1Sønderjyske Fodbold
- Sønderjyske Fodbold0-2F.C. København
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sønderjyske Fodbold – F.C. København?
Our model gives 2 · F.C. København a 65 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sønderjyske Fodbold win 15 %, draw 20 %, F.C. København win 65 %.
What is the most likely score for Sønderjyske Fodbold – F.C. København?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.