Genclerbirligi
Alanyaspor
Genclerbirligi – Alanyaspor
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Nov 1, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.23 – 1.30
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Alanyaspor away from home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.23 goals for Genclerbirligi and 1.30 for Alanyaspor. Bookmakers say the same thing: 36 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Genclerbirligi took 1 point and Alanyaspor 5 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Genclerbirligi, 2 draws, 0 wins for Alanyaspor. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Genclerbirligi | 2.65 | 35 % | -10.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 29 % | -4.8 % |
| 2Alanyaspor | 2.60 | 36 % | -4.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Genclerbirligi
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Alanyaspor
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Genclerbirligi
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor0-0Genclerbirligi
- Genclerbirligi2-2Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor1-2Genclerbirligi
- Genclerbirligi2-1Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor0-1Genclerbirligi
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Genclerbirligi – Alanyaspor?
Our model gives 2 · Alanyaspor a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Genclerbirligi win 34 %, draw 30 %, Alanyaspor win 37 %.
What is the most likely score for Genclerbirligi – Alanyaspor?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.