Galatasaray
1-0
Kocaelispor
Galatasaray – Kocaelispor
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 77 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.58 – 0.76
The short version
Final score: Galatasaray 1-0 Kocaelispor. The model predicted a win for Galatasaray (77 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.58 goals for Galatasaray and 0.76 for Kocaelispor. Bookmakers say the same thing: 75 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Galatasaray took 10 points and Kocaelispor 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Galatasaray, 1 draw, 1 win for Kocaelispor. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Galatasaray | 1.27 | 75 % | -2.7 % |
| XDraw | 5.75 | 16 % | -9.3 % |
| 2Kocaelispor | 10.50 | 9 % | -20.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Galatasaray
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kocaelispor
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Galatasaray
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Kocaelispor
- Galatasaray1-1Kocaelispor
- Kocaelispor1-0Galatasaray
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Galatasaray – Kocaelispor?
Final score: Galatasaray 1-0 Kocaelispor. The model predicted a win for Galatasaray (77 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Galatasaray – Kocaelispor?
Our model gives 1 · Galatasaray a 77 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Galatasaray win 77 %, draw 16 %, Kocaelispor win 8 %.