Benfica
3-1
Gil Vicente
Benfica – Gil Vicente
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 83 %
- Most likely score
- 3-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.13 – 0.72
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Benfica 3-1 Gil Vicente. The model predicted a win for Benfica (83 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.13 goals for Benfica and 0.72 for Gil Vicente. Bookmakers say the same thing: 85 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Benfica took 15 points and Gil Vicente 7 points. In recent meetings: 5 wins for Benfica, 0 draws, 0 wins for Gil Vicente. Over 2.5 goals: 74 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Benfica | 1.10 | 85 % | -7.9 % |
| XDraw | 8.75 | 11 % | -5.0 % |
| 2Gil Vicente | 19.50 | 5 % | +12.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Benfica
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Gil Vicente
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 5 wins
- Benfica
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente1-2Benfica
- Benfica2-1Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente0-3Benfica
- Benfica5-1Gil Vicente
- Benfica3-0Gil Vicente
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Benfica – Gil Vicente?
Final score: Benfica 3-1 Gil Vicente. The model predicted a win for Benfica (83 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Benfica – Gil Vicente?
Our model gives 1 · Benfica a 83 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Benfica win 83 %, draw 11 %, Gil Vicente win 6 %.