Predictions are closed for this match.
Mallorca
06:30 PM
Sep 13
CD Sabadell
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mallorca | 1.86 | 51 % | -1.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 29 % | -7.3 % |
| 2CD Sabadell | 4.50 | 21 % | -14.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Mallorca
CD Sabadell
| Mallorca | Form and statistics | CD Sabadell |
|---|---|---|
| 1579 | Elo | 1521 |
| 1.20 | Goals scored / match | 1.00 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded / match | 0.83 |
| 12.0 | Shots / match | 11.5 |
| 40 % | Win rate | 50 % |
| 7 | Rest days | 5 |
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Mallorca a 53 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Mallorca win 53 %, draw 28 %, CD Sabadell win 19 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 14 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 42 %, and both teams scoring at 45 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.86 for Mallorca, 3.30 for the draw, 4.50 for CD Sabadell.
Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 06:30 PM (LaLiga 2), at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
The model leans towards Mallorca at home (53 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.50 goals for Mallorca and 0.86 for CD Sabadell. Bookmakers say the same thing: 51 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Mallorca took 10 points and CD Sabadell 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 42 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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