Right to Dream Park
FC Nordsjælland
2-0
AGF
FC Nordsjælland – AGF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.12 – 1.09
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: FC Nordsjælland 2-0 AGF. The model predicted a win for FC Nordsjælland (61 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.12 goals for FC Nordsjælland and 1.09 for AGF. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 54 %. Over their last five matches, FC Nordsjælland took 10 points and AGF 2 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for FC Nordsjælland, 2 draws, 2 wins for AGF. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Nordsjælland | 1.76 | 54 % | +6.9 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | -15.5 % |
| 2AGF | 4.00 | 24 % | -25.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
FC Nordsjælland
- Last 5 matches
- At home
AGF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- FC Nordsjælland
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- AGF
- FC Nordsjælland1-1AGF
- AGF1-1FC Nordsjælland
- AGF1-0FC Nordsjælland
- FC Nordsjælland1-2AGF
- FC Nordsjælland2-0AGF
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FC Nordsjælland – AGF?
Final score: FC Nordsjælland 2-0 AGF. The model predicted a win for FC Nordsjælland (61 %): correct prediction.
Who will win FC Nordsjælland – AGF?
Our model gives 1 · FC Nordsjælland a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Nordsjælland win 61 %, draw 21 %, AGF win 19 %.