Londrina
América Mineiro
Londrina – América Mineiro
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 31, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.41 – 0.94
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42 %
- Both teams to score
- 46 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Londrina at home (50 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.41 goals for Londrina and 0.94 for América Mineiro. Bookmakers say the same thing: 50 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Londrina took 4 points and América Mineiro 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Londrina, 1 draw, 2 wins for América Mineiro. Over 2.5 goals: 42 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Londrina | 1.86 | 50 % | -7.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 25 % | +3.4 % |
| 2América Mineiro | 3.80 | 24 % | -16.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Londrina
- Last 5 matches
- At home
América Mineiro
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Londrina
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- América Mineiro
- América Mineiro1-1Londrina
- Londrina0-1América Mineiro
- América Mineiro4-3Londrina
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Londrina – América Mineiro?
Our model gives 1 · Londrina a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Londrina win 50 %, draw 28 %, América Mineiro win 22 %.
What is the most likely score for Londrina – América Mineiro?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.