Académico de Viseu
Rio Ave
Académico de Viseu – Rio Ave
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 31, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 0.99
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Académico de Viseu at home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Académico de Viseu and 0.99 for Rio Ave. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 51 %. Over their last five matches, Académico de Viseu took 12 points and Rio Ave 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Académico de Viseu | 1.83 | 51 % | -24.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | +10.1 % |
| 2Rio Ave | 3.95 | 24 % | +12.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Académico de Viseu
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Rio Ave
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Académico de Viseu – Rio Ave?
Our model gives 1 · Académico de Viseu a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Académico de Viseu win 41 %, draw 31 %, Rio Ave win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for Académico de Viseu – Rio Ave?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.